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Week 50

"Why build with concrete when you can build with stone?.. Creating a concrete structure involves extracting limestone from a quarry, heating it to 1,450°C in a kiln and then grinding the residue to a powder to make cement. This cement is mixed with aggregates and water and poured into shuttering, which workers have spent hours painstakingly putting together along with rebar to give the structure its tensile strength. Once set, the shuttering is removed and, 28 days later, the concrete will have reached its full strength.

Why not cut out all this faff simply by using quarried limestone blocks to create the structure? After all, that is what people did for thousands of years before cement was invented. And stone is typically two and half times stronger, with a carbon footprint one third that of concrete."

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#Lambsquarters

"Better Than Beef, Spinach & Milk Combined. Why Do They Hate This Plant?"

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TASS: "Russia-Italy relations at their worst since WWII — MFA.. Maria Zakharova pointed out that Italy has been swept up in anti-Russian narratives and is facing 'pressure from NATO, the Anglo-Saxon world, and this ultraliberal dictatorship'"


"@benlockwood@ecoevo.social

There’s a myth in the US that the only way to enact change is to elect sympathetic politicians and hope they do the right thing. But history shows that the most effective way to get politicians to act is to disrupt economic activity. Strikes, boycotts, sabotage, and other organized disruptions have overwhelmingly been the primary catalysts behind every major legislative action that has benefited the public."


The Lever: "The Secret Algorithm Behind Your $20 Burger.. According to multiple lawsuits, data analytics firm Agri Stats has quietly enabled the nation’s largest meat processors to coordinate price hikes and wage suppression for decades."


Live Science: "Earth's crust hides enough 'gold' hydrogen to power the world for tens of thousands of years, emerging research suggests"


Europeans are left out from the Core-5?

India Today: "Is Trump planning a secretive Core-5 superclub with India? President Donald Trump is reportedly toying with an audacious idea - a 'Core 5' superclub including the US, Russia, China, India, and Japan. Trump is looking to position it as a potential alternative to the G7."


Both J-10 and J-15 are said to be capable of such long distance targeting. Paki J-10 recently shot down a Rafale from far away using the tech, that was a confirmed kill.


You are flying around, going about your merry mission and then you get that 150 km radar lock on you - that has to be scary

Naval News: "Japan Protests After Chinese J-15 Figthers Lock Radar on JASDF Jets Near Okinawa"


ProPublica: "Joni Ernst, chair of the Senate Small Business Committee, sent letters to 22 federal agencies saying the no-bid contracts granted through a Small Business Administration program are a 'fraud magnet.'"


TASS: "Kremlin says ceasefire only possible after full Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas"


#USNavy - 12/12

Concentration around Iran, China and Venezuella. Vietnam is hosting a number of ships.. The explanation burb says the visit is "routine".

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Arnold the politician shows up in the disaster movie 2012. In that case it was more coastal liberal sniping than anything else whose worries are mostly cosmetic, around properness and the like, not truly economics. Remember the movie there is a point when its truly disaster part begins, and the seque into that is the governator saying "it seems to me, the worst is ovaaah".


The writers claim the dollar bill thing was a President Schwarzenegger joke also made in other movies but I think they are being sly. Arnold the politician was made to look like he was part of the system, which in Running Man is an overly capitalistic one. The governator's politics is in line with that, I can see why they used his image, at the same time, indirectly giving a nod to the '87 movie.


The New Dollar Bill 😂 #RunningMan

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The new Running Man had a great message.. Everyone on it is now on my good books.


F24: "AI pioneer Yann Le Cun reportedly quits Meta over the future of intelligence.. Reports suggest Yann Le Cun, one of the "godfathers of AI", is leaving Meta after over a decade pioneering artificial intelligence research at Mark Zuckerberg's tech titan. Le Cun says he no longer believes that scaling up large language models of the kind that power ChatGPT will lead to superhuman intelligence. Instead, he is betting on "world models", AI that learns more like a baby than a bot."


The American Conservative: "Thomas Massie Introduces Bill to Withdraw U.S. from NATO"


RU is only hostile if you make it

NYT: "The Challenges to Europe’s Security Go Beyond Trump’s Lack of Support.. Europeans find themselves stranded between hostile powers"


If there was no discernable pattern in the past, it is very likely such pattern does not exist today either. Rubio is full of shit


The final calculation, a ratio between near and far counts.. The ratio can be calculated statistically, we get a distribution for the ratio and can check if it is centered around 1. Below

u.get_ufo().poisson_ratio(*params)
            ess_tail  r_hat  
alpha        778.682  1.012  
beta        5749.046  1.001  
sigma_year   797.879  1.011  
rate_ratio  5749.046  1.001  
P(rate_ratio > 1) = 0.531
Median rate ratio: 1.0019251945798229
Mean rate ratio: 1.00257020377643
95% HDI: [0.95493458 1.05285043]
P(rate_ratio > 1): 0.531125
P(0.9 <= rr <= 1.1): 0.99975

It is centered around 1.. The non-nuke sighting counts are indistinquishable from the nuke site sightings..



The counts, after proper scaling

params = u.get_ufo().ufo_sighting_nuke_counts()

pd.DataFrame(params).T.tail(7)
Out[1]: 
       0    1    2
77  2004  224  234
78  2005  201  231
79  2006  179  209
80  2007  243  247
81  2008  231  284
82  2009  222  255
83  2010  167  147

UFO activity near nuclear areas.. 🤔 I already have data for UFO sightings.. and geo locations of "nuke sites". Could compare sighting counts within 100 km radius of those sites vs the rest.. It's just a GLM via Poisson distribution on annual basis


Orgs using their database need to jump ship. The product is no good. Bloated and expensive. There are open source alternatives.

CNBC: "Oracle plummets 11% on weak revenue, pushing down AI stocks like Nvidia and CoreWeave"


NYT: "Mexico Approves 50% Tariffs on Many Chinese Imports"


IC: "Trump campaigned on Ending Forever Wars: Marco Rubio didn’t get the Memo"


IC: "One way Zohran Mamdani could arrest Indicted War Criminal Benjamin Netanyahu.. When ICC enforcement is blocked, international law provides an alternative mechanism: universal jurisdiction. This principle allows any state to prosecute individuals accused of grave international crimes—such as genocide, war crimes, and crimes against humanity—regardless of where the crimes occurred or the nationality of the perpetrator. Several countries, including Switzerland, Portugal, Spain, France and Germany, have successfully used universal jurisdiction to prosecute foreign officials, such as the conviction of former Gambian Interior Minister Ousman Sonko for crimes against humanity in 2024.. Israel justified Eichmann’s abduction from Argentina by invoking universal jurisdiction..

If we analogise Eichmann’s arrest to the potential arrest of Netanyahu by New York authorities, numerous similarities emerge. The application of universal jurisdiction to arrest Benjamin Netanyahu upon his entry into New York does not require Israel or the United States to be State members to the ICC; it suffices that the perpetrators committed heinous crimes that affect the international community as a whole and threat international peace and security—a condition that applies to Netanyahu...

Some may argue that NYPD lack the legal authority to arrest Benjamin Netanyahu.. It is believed that exercising universal jurisdiction does not require prior authorization, as it derives its legitimacy from customary international law, which regards norms combating grave crimes such as war crimes and crimes against humanity as peremptory norms (Jus cogens) that cannot be overridden or violated."


TAC: "The publication of the Trump administration’s National Security Strategy (NSS) has, predictably, ignited a firestorm through the corridors of power in Kiev and European capitals, while Moscow welcomed it. The document’s stark language, declaring an urgent priority to end the war in Ukraine, has been met with a mixture of outrage and denial from transatlantic elites. What these reactions reveal is a fundamental clash between entrenched transatlantic idealism and a resurgent American realism."


Blaming Biden will not work anymore, it's been almost a year into the current term, now everything going wrong will be the administration's responsibility.


WH must have finally settled on a messaging.. If WH accepted affordability crisis existed (and it does) Trump would be blamed for it. Voters already blame the admin, but no need to pile on the negativity, right? So now the spin is to deny that it exists and hope things turn around for the better.

CNN: "Trump calls affordability a hoax"


#Reshare #Epstein #Tax

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CNBC: "Judge unseals Ghislaine Maxwell grand jury materials, citing Epstein files act"


Firstpost: "Australia enforces world-first social media ban for children, orders platforms to delete under-16 accounts"


"China was once at the start of the Silk Road, but now, it is at the start of the Hydrogen Road. For the first time, China’s new corridor will be transporting hydrogen across provinces through a dedicated pipeline. China is shifting to more renewable energy, which will give it the ability to operate on clean energy...

Beijing is now able to capture the green hydrogen produced in Inner Mongolia, which is one of the best locations in the country for green hydrogen.. the pipeline is expected to start functioning at almost 100,000 tons of hydrogen output in a year. Nonetheless, the pipeline has been designed with the ambition of attaining considerable operational scalability... With additional renewable-powered electrolyzers coming online in Inner Mongolia, the completion of the compression facilities, and the storage facilities along the route, the corridor will eventually be able to accommodate 500,000 tons a year."


How about Armenians? Both Greeks and Armenians were present in big numbers before WWI in Asia Minor. I'd say the Greeks, concentrated on the West, would be more influential, Armenians had the numbers too (before the bad events), just somewhat out of the mainstream. Armenian version is a variation of the Orthodoxy Church, theirs is more distant to Catholicism than Greek Orthodox is, concentrated in the East.


Culture requires proximity, transmitted via society through osmosis, spanning many centuries, in that case which religion would Anatolians be close to, culturally, other than Islam? The Catholic Church? The Orthodox Church?

Both, and the two sects are similar to each other anyway. One college mate (American of Irish descent, Catholic) told a Greek friend (Orthodox) once that "our stuff is basically the same but your guys have funnier hats". The observation is correct. And I, as Anatolian, would have the cultural precepts from both. Asia Minor is from the area deeply intertwined with Christian history after all.


Newsweek: "Longtime U.S. partners Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) are increasingly at odds in Yemen, shifting the conflict from a united front against the Houthi movement to a proxy struggle over southern territories and resources."


TASS: "Russia, India conduct 90% of settlements in national currencies"


Forbes: "L.A. Kicks Coal As It Fires Up The World’s Largest Green Hydrogen Power Plant.. The second-biggest U.S. city starts getting electricity next month from hydrogen made at a Utah power plant – and stored beneath it in a vast salt cavern – to help get to 100% carbon-free power."


It sounds like an "AI" problem

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"Tesla veers into opposing traffic, triggers dump truck crash "

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UA attacked ships in TR territory? Is there a message here?

"[TR FM] said that the attacks on the Kairos and Virat vessels happened inside Türkiye’s exclusive economic zone and 'have posed serious risks to navigation, life, property and environmental safety in the region'"


NYT: "Battlefield Picture Worsening for Ukraine as Trump Pushes Peace Plan"


"Predictions and Validations of an Elastic Solid Aether Model"

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#Epstein #Tax

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#Unzicker

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US Venezuella deployment might partly be a response to Russian Cuban deployment.. But then this has already gone too far, a response to a response to a Western fuckup...? Just like back in the 60s, the solution can be the same. All countries need to mind their business and respect RU's security concerns.


"Kennedy's courageous handling of the crisis".. Smokescreen. He climbed down from his position on the missile deployment in Russia's backyard. The removal would be done in a later date, so many did not notice this detail, but it happened nevertheless. The delay was there to help Kennedy save face.


Increased Russian presence in the Caribbean was likely a tit-for-tat response to US support for Ukraine... Just like back in the 60s it took potential Soviet missile deployment on Cuba to make US pull its head out of the sand and finally decide to remove its own missiles from Anatolia, the recent Cuba play can hopefully trigger the same response.


Al Jazeera: "[06/13] Why are Russian warships in Cuba? Russian warships sailed into Cuba’s main harbour in what appears to be a show of strength by Moscow amid heightened tensions with the US."


"[10/16] Russian Parliament Ratifies Military Cooperation Pact with Cuba.. Signed in March 2025 during high-level talks in Havana and Moscow, the pact provides a structured foundation for joint defense initiatives, including potential training, equipment sharing, and strategic consultations."


"Paramount Looking to Make ‘Hostile’ Move Amid Netflix Merger"


Im curious if RU is supporting the effort #Syria


Reuters: "[Syrian] ex-intel chief Kamal Hassan and Assad cousin Rami Makhlouf are spending millions of dollars.. to build fighting forces that would lead a revolt along Syria’s coast. They are also vying for control of a network of 14 underground command rooms stocked with arms and ammunition that were built in the dictatorship’s last days.. From their exiles in Moscow, Hassan and Makhlouf envision a fractured Syria, and each wants control of the Alawite-majority areas."


Does that mean NATO will end in 2027??

Reuters: "US sets 2027 deadline for Europe-led NATO defense"