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Codeberg Main

Week 9

GCM: "The first major pipeline section of the Dutch hydrogen network in Rotterdam has been filled with hydrogen, marking a significant milestone in the development of the infrastructure that will soon make up the backbone of the hydrogen market in Rotterdam, the Netherlands, and ultimately the whole of Europe. A total of 32 tonnes of green hydrogen was supplied to fill the 20-mile (32-km) pipeline."

Anyone who studied AI, the actual subject, would know exactly why that is.

"I tried playing the new Claude 4.5 model in a game of chess. It did really poorly. It played a coherent opening and was difficult to play against for the first ten or fifteen moves, then everything fell apart and it started blundering and even making some illegal moves."

Cobol is an ancient, obtuse language and apparently IBM was making good mint servicing it.

Well if u r dealing with that kind of junk language you deserve whats coming to you. LLMs do ok converting one language to another.

"Anthropic published a blog post on Monday (Feb. 23) describing how its Claude Code tool can automate the analysis, dependency mapping and documentation work that has historically made COBOL modernization so expensive. In response, IBM shares closed down nearly 13.2%, at $223.35, their worst single-day decline since October 2000..

An estimated 95% of ATM transactions in the U.S. run on COBOL, and hundreds of billions of lines of the code remain in production across finance, airlines and government."

It's clear what the priorities are... Unwavering Israel support is needed for the military-industrial complex (UK is their poodle) to rake it in through the wars Israel triggers in the region. Airing the n-word helps raise animosity between groups in society, to keep them balkanized, so corporate control can be exercised over them easily. Divide et impera per capitale.

Yahoo News UK: "BBC cut 'free Palestine' remark from Baftas – but not racial slur [n-word]"

Politico: "The state of the Democratic Party is … split.. Various Democratic factions hosting numerous competing events Tuesday night diverged on the best way to challenge President Donald Trump. Throughout the speeches, universal calls to bring down costs and crack down on ICE mixed in with more forceful and sometimes vulgar rebukes of his administration — laying bare the ideological and stylistic divides that are driving the party’s identity crisis."

"@maddiefuzz@masto.hackers.town

@jalefkowit They will save democracy and continue to give everything to venture capital and private equity.

You just don’t care like the democrats do."

"@jalefkowit@vmst.io

Oh god the fundraising texts have started

If only Democrats did literally anything else with the same energy they put into rattling the tin cup"

Reagan cut taxes but debt exploded anyway, growth did not offset gov's lost revenue. Why? Because growth is not directly tied to enterpreneurship (neolib idea is always cut taxes spur business growth).. Supply siders got this all wrong. Growth, innovation is tied to non-profit elements in the society (social infrastructure, know-how, research -best of which is always government funded-).

The American Conservative: "Carrie Prejean Boller, who was recently removed from a federal religious freedom advisory commission, says her ouster followed months of conflict over her public criticism of Israel and objections to defining anti-Zionism as antisemitism."

"@ainmosni@ainmosni.eu

When exactly did we start to think that the point of humans was to be productive, instead of thinking that the point of productivity was to take care of humans?"

Stuck in our Future #KITT

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"@Codeberg@social.anoxinon.de

Fun fact: Codeberg was born as a direct consequence of a false DMCA takedown (those were very popular a decade ago) against the @gadgetbridge repository—an indie Android app that helps users conttol their own gadgets (smart wearables). If that didn't happen, we most likely wouldn't exist today.

Gadgetbridge is still hosted on Codeberg to this day and available on alternative app stores such as @fdroidorg and @IzzyOnDroidOrg."

Historically the debt actually started to fall even before the enactment of the Accord, which means simply ending WWII (its related spending) was enough for debt levels to come down. That suggests the first step to "fix" the debt would be to stop spending excessively on war.

Reagan (unfunded) tax cuts contributed to the ballooning debt, sure. "But.. but.. growth will fund them bro..". It didn't.

Debt to GDP started to rise since Reagan, continued until today, reaching WWII levels. That means US has been spending as if it is fighting a World War, the "war" this time spread over multiple decades. Recalling the events of near past we can confirm this is true. US has intervened in various countries, toppled governments, caused civil war all over the globe. Serbia, Iraq, Libya, Syria, the list goes on... Combined, these interventions and the "readiness" required to do more of them could easily result WWII level spending. The all-powerful military-industrial complex got its wish, it got paid. The people got the shaft, and now will face higher inflation.

Current FED chief Powell was probably asked to re-activate the 50s Accord to deal with high debt, but he refused. The incoming chief Warsh will play ball?

Gov (re)financed its debt on the cheap, however, some experts claim, that gave rise to higher inflation for others (one rate for me, higher rate for thee)... This continues until 1979 when Volcker finally raises rates to kill inflation (he also seems to have abandoned the accord -current FED is following his example-) which strengtens the dollar, hurts exports, Japan's surplus rose, then Plaza Accord is enacted, Japan surplus falls, their real estate bubble begins, on and on, and on... One fix fucks up something else, then another fix arrives.

Debt to GDP ratio went down after the Treasury-Fed Accord was enacted.

u.get_pd().read_csv('debtgdp.csv',index_col='Year').plot(ylim=(0,130))
plt.axvspan(1947,1948, color='y', alpha=0.5, lw=0)
plt.axvspan(1983,1984, color='y', alpha=0.5, lw=0)
plt.text(1949,100,"WWII")
plt.text(1965,70,"Reagan")

Al Jazeera: "The Carlson-Huckabee interview may be the wake-up call Americans needed.. Indeed, the interview highlighted — perhaps more than any other political or media spectacle — the growing suspicion that American officials may be more loyal to a foreign country than they are to the US. This may well turn out to be a defining moment for how Americans view their government’s relationship with Israel."

"Hold on to Your Hardware.. 'we’ve seen [hardware] price spikes before, due to crypto booms, pandemic shortages, factory floods and fires!', you might say. And while we did live through those crises, things eventually eased when bubbles popped and markets or supply chains recovered. The current situation, however, doesn’t appear to be going away anytime soon, as it looks like the industry’s priorities have fundamentally changed.

These days, the biggest customers are not gamers, creators, PC builders or even crypto miners anymore. Today, it’s hyperscalers. Companies that use hardware for “AI” training clusters, cloud providers, enterprise data centers, as well as governments and defense contractors. Compared to these hyperscalers consumers are small fish in a big pond.

These buyers don’t care if RAM costs 20% more and neither do they wait for Black Friday deals. Instead, they sign contracts measured in exabytes and billions of dollars"

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Bolts: "In Seattle last week, voters shifted the political landscape toward the left. Progressive candidates swept the three city council seats on the ballot, growing their presence from one to three on the nine-member body...

This new wave of progressive leadership has taken on increased national visibility—Wilson has embraced the comparisons to Zohran Mamdani, the newly elected democratic socialist mayor of New York City—but they also stand to impact the lives of more than 800,000 Seattleites, in areas from housing to criminal justice.

'It is that battle between establishment, centrist corporate Democrats and more progressive Democrats,' said Crystal Fincher, a Seattle-based political strategist..

In the mayoral race, Wilson and Harrell diverged greatly on a number of issues.. [e.g.] in their approaches to creating more affordable housing. Wilson was relatively eager to levy new taxes on large corporations and the wealthy to pay for housing, compared to Harrell who had previously opposed such measures while in office. While both have advocated for more affordable housing, Wilson has embraced the Seattle Social Housing Developer, a city-owned startup designed to emulate Vienna’s social housing model, which involves a public developer building and managing housing that is designed to be permanently affordable for people with a mix of incomes."

"@mcc@mastodon.social

[I]f you go to https://github.com/claude and 'block this user', every Github repo you visit containing code credited to Claude will actually have a warning sign"

"Yours is a GoFundMe waiting to happen"

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When describing LLMs some say they use the probability of the next word, or they are statistical. We need to clarify this, LLMs even fudge the internal use of probability. Just like in an earlier example we saw the sine wave can be mimicked via multiplication and addition, LLMs mimic probability via its spaghetti of neurons that have nothing to do with probability. It is actually quite disgusting what they do.. I hope their architecture is improved so even with the neural approach there is more rigour that lends itself to deeper analysis.

#Woolridge #LLM

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"Seedance’s ‘generated’ AI Cruise-Pitt demo was a green screen and face swap.. Whoever made the Cruise-Pitt video didn’t generate it from nothing. They did a face swap — an older AI trick that’s now a standard CGI effect, because it works predictably."

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Ironically the article was about another LLM (who flamed a programmer on an article it wrote/posted after the programmer refused to accept its code). This story basically is now a living proof for all "AI" related cascading fuck ups.

Ars Technica: "[We] published an article containing fabricated quotations generated by an AI tool and attributed to a source who did not say them. That is a serious failure of our standards."

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FT: "Amazon service was taken down by AI coding bot.. Amazon’s cloud unit has suffered at least two outages due to errors involving its own AI tools... The people said the agentic tool, which can take autonomous actions on behalf of users, determined that the best course of action was to 'delete and recreate the environment'... Multiple Amazon employees told the FT that this was the second occasion in recent months in which one of the group’s AI tools had been at the centre of a service disruption"

H2 Power Paste

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Osenilo: "Scientists of the late 19th century tried to build mechanical models [but failed]... The alternative was a strategy that changed the entire 20th century: 'Abandon mechanics and postulate formulas.'

This was done in:

Once they abandoned the very idea of a medium, the problem of describing it vanished automatically. The mathematics was successful — and that was enough to psychologically reject the need for a mechanism... The turn of the 20th century became a time when a new unwritten rule emerged in physics: 'It’s acceptable not to understand what is really happening.'..

This provided enormous freedom:

This was a departure from materialism towards abstraction — psychologically appealing because it eliminated the need to 'build a model that explains everything.'. But at the same time, it created the possibility to

Over the past hundred years, we have acquired tools that were completely unavailable to physicists in the 1900s.. The [old] ether was imagined incorrectly — as a solid abstraction, not as a real, complex gas-dynamic medium"

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Dmitrii Osenilo has an aether based fundamental psy formulation. Check him out.

#TheDemistifySciPodcast.

Papers

James Cameron badmouthing WB-NFXL deal? Cameron endorsed every Terminator movie since TII, and nearly all of them sucked. He even promoted Herminator: Woke Fate, you know with the Sarah Connor literally looking like Hillary Clinton. Can we trust JC anymore? What is his angle here?

Judea Pearl, The Book of Why: "Just as they did thirty years ago, machine learning programs (including those with deep neural networks [like LLMs]) operate almost entirely in an associational mode. They are driven by a stream of observations to which they attempt to fit a function, in much the same way that a statistician tries to fit a line to a collection of points. Deep neural networks have added many more layers to the complexity of the fitted function, but raw data still drives the fitting process. They continue to improve in accuracy as more data are fitted, but they do not benefit from the 'super-evolutionary speedup'. If, for example, the programmers of a driverless car want it to react differently to new situations, they have to add those new reactions explicitly. The machine will not figure out for itself that a pedestrian with a bottle of whiskey in hand is likely to respond differently to a honking horn"

"Pioneer of causal AI, Judea Pearl, argues that no amount of scaling will get LLMs to AGI. "

"ORIGINATOR: FBI

FROM: HOOVER, J. EDGAR

TO: WATSON, MARVIN

TITLE: REACTION OF SOVIET AND COMMUNIST PARTY OFFICIALS TO JFK ASSASINATION

"[A] source reported that the KGB Residency in New York City received instructions, approximately September 16, 1965, from KGB headquarters in Moscow to develop all possible information concerning President Lyndon B. Johnson's character, background, personal friends, family, and from which quarters he derives his support in his position as President of the United States. Our source added that in the instructions from Moscow, it was indicated that 'now' the KGB was in possession of data purporting to indicate President Johnson was responsible for the assassination of the late President John F. Kennedy. KGB headquarters indicated that in view of this information, it was necessary for the Soviet Government to know the existing personal relationship between President Johnson and the Kennedy family, particularly that between President Johnson and Robert and 'Ted' Kennedy."

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It looks like KGB also thought LBJ was responsible for JFK's assasination. The excerpt above can be found in the JFK files (release started in 2017 #DJT).

You can even bet on the possibility of rupture.. (4% chance) #Polymarket

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Road & Track: "Tesla Has the Highest Fatal Accident Rate of All Auto Brands, Study Finds"

Futurism: "Tesla Robotaxis Crashing Vastly More Often Than Human Drivers"

Kinzer: "United Fruit rose to its mythical status in Guatemala under the leadership of Sam Zemurray, the visionary 'Banana Man' who had organized the overthrow of President Miguel Davila of Honduras in 1911"

Kinzer: "During the early years of the twentieth century, four American corporations gobbled up most of Puerto Rico's best land. On it they planted sugar, a crop suited to large-scale farming. The big losers were families who grew coffee, which is known as the 'poor man's crop' because it can be cultivated on small plots. By 1930, sugar accounted for 60 percent of the country's exports, while coffee, once the island's principal crop, had fallen to just 1 percent... With little access to land, ordinary Puerto Ricans became steadily poorer. One study found that while 17 percent of them were unemployed at the time of the American invasion, 30 percent were unemployed a quarter century later"

One should not look for deep "strategy" behind US / Anglo actions.. these people are all about money. You see, the first US invervention, Hawaii, was literally triggered by the planters there, for economic interests, because the planters did not want to pay import duties while selling to US. It is that simple.

Stephen Kinzer, Overthrow: "The influence that economic power exercises over American foreign policy has grown tremendously since the days when ambitious planters in Hawaii realized that by bringing their islands into the United States, they would be able to send their sugar to markets on the mainland without paying import duties. As the twentieth century progressed, titans of industry and their advocates went a step beyond influencing policy makers; they became the policy makers. The figure who most perfectly embodied this merging of political and economic interests was John Foster Dulles, who spent decades working for some of the world's most powerful corporations and then became secretary of state. It was Dulles who ordered the 1953 coup in Iran, which was intended in part to make the Middle East safe for American oil companies. A year later he ordered another coup, in Guatemala, where a nationalist government had challenged the power of United Fruit, a company his old law firm represented."

Reminder, the first casualty of the latest revelations was Larry Summers, a Democrat, one of those "New" ones, a Clintonite. They hate the poor and love their innuendo.

Santa Fe New Mexican: "Records show [Democratic] Gov. Richardson met with Epstein for years after conviction"

Imagine the connection mucker had to have to pull off something like this..

Money laundering?

"A mail found in newly released Epstein documents claimed that Jeffrey Epstein won a $80 million lottery in 2008. Public records show that Zorro Trust, the legal entity connected to Jeffrey Epstein’s 10,000-acre Zorro Ranch in New Mexico, collected a 29.3 million after-tax lump-sum payment of the 80 million from the July 2, 2008 Powerball drawing."

BBC: "Jean-Luc Brunel: Epstein associate found dead in Paris prison cell"

Debt to GDP now reached WWII levels.. One expert says gov wants to fix that, and via Warsh (plus Treasury) USG will have FED buy bunch of government debt on the cheap just like they did after the 50s Accord..

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Wut? Did someone say "Treasury-Fed Accord"?

Bloomberg: "Warsh Call for Fed-Treasury Accord Stirs Debate in $30 Trillion Bond Market"